Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.183883 0.206513 0.230203 0.256795 0.285755 0.316281 0.350832
2025-03-02 0.151787 0.182202 0.215667 0.255029 0.299855 0.349113 0.407126
2025-03-09 0.129749 0.165095 0.205700 0.255377 0.314077 0.380788 0.461868
2025-03-16 0.111887 0.150225 0.196025 0.254062 0.324891 0.407746 0.511167
2025-03-23 0.100851 0.142052 0.193003 0.259563 0.343055 0.443121 0.570811
2025-03-30 0.089483 0.132049 0.186469 0.259640 0.353806 0.469212 0.619459
2025-04-06 0.079817 0.123152 0.180328 0.259296 0.363344 0.493471 0.665965
2025-04-13 0.071585 0.115290 0.174713 0.258879 0.372224 0.516636 0.711225
2025-04-20 0.065379 0.109610 0.171445 0.261073 0.384181 0.543659 0.761692
2025-04-27 0.061435 0.106794 0.171803 0.267969 0.402351 0.578957 0.823435
2025-05-04 0.056483 0.101961 0.168840 0.269853 0.413489 0.605000 0.873424
2025-05-11 0.052734 0.098618 0.167723 0.274110 0.427804 0.635408 0.929640
2025-05-18 0.050334 0.097392 0.169906 0.283575 0.450251 0.678132 1.004447
2025-05-25 0.045310 0.091389 0.164380 0.281295 0.455770 0.697729 1.048389
2025-06-01 0.041364 0.086808 0.160700 0.281472 0.464662 0.722045 1.099167
2025-06-08 0.037470 0.081917 0.156140 0.279947 0.470817 0.742482 1.144849
2025-06-15 0.035395 0.080085 0.156391 0.285826 0.488040 0.778888 1.213432
2025-06-22 0.032440 0.076317 0.153130 0.285878 0.496330 0.802528 1.264369
2025-06-29 0.029692 0.072651 0.149756 0.285491 0.503786 0.824972 1.313888
2025-07-06 0.027190 0.069197 0.146488 0.285032 0.510980 0.847041 1.363141
2025-07-13 0.025330 0.066852 0.144999 0.287394 0.522558 0.875724 1.422368
2025-07-20 0.024328 0.066198 0.146504 0.294829 0.542321 0.916944 1.500514
2025-07-27 0.022673 0.063963 0.144933 0.296859 0.553392 0.945236 1.560106